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Reverse home bias and the New Year resolution that can change your wealth

Business

Every new year begins the same way.

People set resolutions to eat better, exercise more, travel more, work harder, spend more time with family.

But the resolution that quietly determines long-term freedom is rarely written down:

Invest before you spend. Live below your means.

Because financial independence is not a function of geography or currency. It is a function of behaviour what you consistently do with what you earn. 

And that is exactly where the UAE investment conversation becomes interesting.

Reverse Home Bias: the blind spot in many UAE portfolios

Most UAE residents are globally diversified  and underinvested in the one economy they understand best.

That sentence makes people pause. It should. 

In most parts of the world, investors struggle with home bias  owning too much of their domestic market. In the UAE, I repeatedly see the opposite: reverse home bias.

People earn here.

They spend here.

They build careers, businesses, and families here.

Yet when it comes to investing, their portfolios often remain anchored to markets elsewhere sometimes out of habit, sometimes out of outdated assumptions. 

That behaviour once made sense. Today, it deserves a rethink.

UAE then vs UAE now: portfolios haven’t caught up with reality

UAE then

A decade or two ago, the logic was straightforward. The economy was viewed largely through the lens of hydrocarbons. Capital markets were narrower, sector depth was limited, and diversification meant looking beyond the region.

UAE now

The country has quietly but decisively transformed. Non-oil activities now contribute around 77.5% of real GDP. Growth is driven by services, logistics, tourism, aviation, utilities, telecom, retail, and digital platforms. This is not cyclical diversification  it is structural.

And crucially, this shift is no longer only visible in policy documents. It is visible in where capital is flowing.

Capital follows clarity: top-down vision and investor confidence

One of the most underappreciated aspects of the UAE story is how deliberate the transition has been. This is a top-down, long-term strategy  not a reaction to short-term cycles.

The UAE’s diversification is no longer a slogan. Official data shows non-oil activities are now 77.5% of real GDP (H1 2025), up from an implied ~76% in 2024. The growth engine is being institutionalised through top-down national agendas: ‘We the Emirates 2031’ targets lifting GDP to AED 3 trillion, with foreign trade at AED 4 trillion and non-oil exports at AED 800 billion. And the demographic math supports it: UAE’s population is projected to double by 2040, a structural tailwind for utilities, mobility, telecom, real estate, retail and digital convenience, i.e., exactly the sectors now represented by listed UAE companies. Markets tend to reward direction and consistency more than speed.

And the UAE has been unusually consistent.

Diversification away from oil and into ownership

The most important shift for investors is not just that the economy has diversified, but how that diversification has been made investable.

Over the past few years, the UAE has systematically deepened its capital markets. Through listings of state-owned champions and private enterprises, sectors that once sat entirely outside public ownership are now accessible through the stock exchanges. There are a total of 194 listed businesses across UAE stock exchanges in Dubai and Abu Dhabi

Utilities, toll roads, transport platforms, telecom infrastructure, energy distribution, consumer businesses  all increasingly represented in public markets.

In simple terms:

The economy diversified first.

The stock market followed.

Many portfolios have not.

The real gap is behavioural, not geographical

At this point, it’s important to say something uncomfortable but honest: Wealth is not determined by where you work. It is determined by what you do with what you earn.

I have seen people earn exceptional incomes in global financial centres and remain financially fragile. I have also seen individuals build long-term wealth in far less glamorous environments.

The difference is rarely opportunity. It is behaviour.

• Living below your means

• Managing income and expenses with intent

• Consistently converting surplus into investable capital

• Allowing time and compounding to do the heavy lifting

Markets don’t create wealth on their own. Systems and discipline do.

So if there is one resolution that changes outcomes, it is this: Pay yourself first. Invest before you spend.

And once you do that, the next question becomes: where should you start investing?

That is where the Life Usage Index comes in.

The Life Usage Index (LUI)

Invest in what you use  then diversify globally on top of that base. Start with the listed businesses you already use, understand, and pay every month then diversify globally on top of that foundation.

This is not a stock-picking trick. It’s a behavioural framework.

Think about a normal day in the UAE: 

Used a credit card or banking app?

You’re operating inside the cash-flow engine of the economy through listed banks such as Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank and First Abu Dhabi Bank.

Did grocery shopping? Essentials repeat. Repetition creates predictable revenues. Retailers like LuLu Retail and Spinneys are now part of the public market ecosystem.

Drove through toll gates? That familiar “beep” is monetised mobility via Salik.

Parked your car? Urban movement itself has become investable through Parkin.

Took a taxi? Even commuting is listed. Dubai Taxi Company turns daily transport into shareholder earnings.

Ordered food? Convenience is no longer a lifestyle feature it’s a growth sector. Platforms like talabat, alongside consumer operators such as Americana Restaurants, monetise time and habit.

Used mobile data? Digital life runs on listed infrastructure  e& and du function today as modern utilities.

Paid electricity, water, or cooling bills? Population growth plus economic activity equals compounding demand  through DEWA and Empower.

Bought a home, rented, or spent time in malls? The skyline itself is investable  via developers like Emaar, Aldar, and Deyaar.

The point isn’t to “buy everything UAE.” The point is to stop being a perfect customer of the UAE growth story — and start becoming a thoughtful owner of it.

Because wealth is not decided by where you work. It is decided by what you do with what you earn:

• How consistently you convert income into investable capital, and

• How patiently you allow compounding to work.

That behavioural shift from consumer to owner is where the Life Usage Index begins.

If you want a resolution that actually changes your financial trajectory, make it this:

Invest before you spend.

Build surplus.

Deploy it consistently.

Start with what you understand.

Then diversify globally with intention.

The UAE has turned diversification into investable form.

The only question now is whether your portfolio reflects the country you live in — or the country you last updated your assumptions for.

*This is not an investment advice, all the names mentioned above for illustration and educational purposes. Please connect with a licensed financial adviser or do your own research before investing*

Sandeep S. Jadwani - ACSI, CIB (Head of Investment Advisory, H Capital Limited (Formerly Habib Investment Limited – Regulated by DFSA) is qualified, experienced and an award-winning financial adviser to High Net-worth Individuals. Been in the UAE for over 15 years, advised more than 1500 individuals and families to manage their finances and achieve their financial goals efficiently and effectively. Connect with him on Instagram @sandeep_investmentadvisor and Linkedin - www.linkedin.com/in/sandeepjadwanibestadvisoruae/

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